There were several encouraging technical signs this week from a
bullish perspective. Let’s take a look at the major indices individually
and see where they stand this morning (May 30, 2014).
S&P 500 Index ($SPX):
Last Friday around
this time the SPX was (once again) trading near the top of its recent
trading range and it wasn’t entirely clear if it would break out or drop
back down into that range. On Tuesday we got our answer as the SPX
moved higher by 12 points and closed near the high of the day. After
some consolidation of those gains on Wednesday, traders reinforced the
price action breakout with some follow-though buying:
Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI):
The DJI chart may not be as bullish
as the SPX because it didn’t record a new all-time high in concert with
the SPX this week, but it appears to be above its old trading range and
looks pretty healthy from my perspective. As of early Friday morning
the DJI is down roughly 20 points and is about 50 points away from the
all-time closing high it recorded back in mid-May
Russell 2000 ($RUT):
The breakout in the SPX
appears to have prompted buying, and a corresponding breakout, in the
RUT. If you are bullish it was both encouraging and significant to see
the RUT breakout of its recent downtrend and validate the move in the
SPX. The RUT has actually been outperforming the SPX recently as it has
tacked on 3.5% since last Wednesday (vs. +2.5% for the SPX over the same
time frame):
NASDAQ Composite ($COMPX):
Similar to the SPX
and RUT, the COMPX broke out above the sideways range that it has been
confined within since mid-April. The fact that the breakout in the SPX
was accompanied with breakouts in both the RUT and COMPX this week is a
good sign for the bulls:
Summary:
The bulls appear to be in control as markets finally break out of their respective trading ranges and resolve to the upside.
With
markets trading near all-time highs I think it’s fairly safe to assume
that the “Sell in May and go away” wasn’t the dominant investing
philosophy this year.
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