Sunday, May 17, 2009
The worst decade
investors have suffered through the second worst decade for stocks on record — a record that includes the Crash of 1929 as well as the Great Depression. In fact, even if the market produces satisfactory returns for 2009 (and it is certainly not off to a good start), it is highly likely that the 10 year period ending this coming December will prove to be the worst decade ever, as it will no longer include the 21% return of 1999. Given that the market has lost 3.6% per year for the last nine years versus the 1.7% annual loss suffered between 1928—1938, currently the worst decade on record, this is not a bold prediction.