Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Emerging Markets are still going strong

Although industrialized economies in the U.S., Europe, and Japan are all likely to see slow growth in the next couple of years, emerging markets are still going strong.
Country   GDP Growth --  2008 GDP      2009 GDP
Past 12 Months Growth Est. Growth Est.
United States 2.5% 1.1% 1.7%
Germany 1.8% 1.7% 1.6%
Japan 2.0% 1.3% 1.5%
China 10.6% 9.6% 9.0%
India 8.4% 7.8% 7.2%
Brazil 6.2% 4.6% 4.0%
Russia 8.0% 7.1% 6.2%
By one simple measure -- the P/E ratio -- emerging-market countries have quite reasonable stock market valuations. And in some cases, they look downright cheap.
Country  Trailing P/E  Estimated
Forward P/E
United States 19.2 14.8
Germany 12.4 11.9
Japan 16.6 15.6
China 19.5 16.2
India 22.0 20.9
Brazil 16.2 13.2
Russia 10.4 11.6

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