Good old-fashioned buy-and-hold investing might not be exciting enough
to interest daytraders. But it can nevertheless produce exciting
longer-term returns — and beat out newfangled strategies.
Consider this: The three top spots in the Hulbert Financial Digest’s
five-year rankings of more than 200 investment-advisory services all buy
and hold quality companies. Remarkably, all three are subscription
newsletters published by the same advisory firm, the Motley Fool in
Alexandria, Va., which was founded by brothers Tom and David Gardner in
1993.
The newsletters’ names are Inside Value, Rule Breakers and Stock
Advisor, and their model portfolios have produced average annual returns
over the period of 18%, 16% and 15%, respectively, each more than
doubling the 7.2% return of the overall stock market over the same
period, as measured by the Wilshire 5000 index, with dividends
reinvested.
Andy Cross, the firm’s chief investment officer, wrote in an email that
the firm’s Inside Value service, which focuses on value stocks, searches
for “great businesses at beaten-up or misunderstood stock prices.” In
contrast, the Rule Breakers newsletter, which focuses on high-growth
stocks, searches for “the most innovative companies, often early in
their history, that are in disrupting industries.” Finally, the Stock
Advisor service searches for “winning businesses with a special edge to
keep them winning.”
Since very few stocks are held in common by these three top-ranked
services, one must credit the firm’s underlying investment approach for
their stellar performance. That philosophy, Mr. Cross said in an
interview, is to invest in “great and amazing growth-opportunity
businesses” whose full potential “other investors are ignoring,”
typically holding them for three to five years.
One particular challenge that investors face in following the Motley
Fool’s investment approach is that it requires the all-too-rare
discipline of holding on to recommended stocks through bear markets. Mr.
Cross points out that investors who bail out of stocks during declines
seldom get back into equities in time to participate in the bulk of the
subsequent recovery.
“Trying to figure out when to invest is a fool’s errand,” he says, and
therefore his firm urges investors to get into “the practice of
regularly investing as much as they can” in the stock market.
When questioned about the specific parameters the firm’s investment team
uses when picking stocks, Mr. Cross wrote back that it focuses “on
where the company, not the stock, will be in the next 3-5 years, and
even beyond.” He called the approach “a business-owner mentality more
than a ‘stock-buyer’ one,” listing such criteria as assets, competitive
advantages, boards and managers and market opportunities.
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