Since the 1969 moon landing, the American government had cut funding
for science programmes and diverted it to the war in Vietnam.
“A generation of physicists who had gone to graduate school left with
their PhDs and entered a severely depressed job market,” explains James
Owen Weatherall, author of The Physics of Finance. They had to
earn a living somehow, and, seeing how much money that there was to be
made on Wall Street, many decided to move into finance.
In Britain, the fall of the Soviet Union led to an influx of Warsaw
Pact scientists. In both cases, these scientists brought with them a new
methodology based on analysing data and also a faith that, using
sufficient computing firepower, it was possible to predict the market.
It was the start of a new discipline, quantitative analysis, and the most famous “quant” of all was a shambling donnish maths genius with a
scraggly beard and aversion to socks called Jim Simons.
For those who know their physics, Simons is a living legend. A piece
of mathematics he co-created, the Chern-Simons 3-form, is one of the
most important elements of string theory, the so-called “theory of
everything”. Highly academic, Simons never seemed the sort of person who
would gravitate to the earthy environs of Wall Street. But in 1982, he
founded an extraordinarily successful hedge fund management company,
Renaissance Technologies, whose signature fund, Medallion, went on to
earn an incredible 2,478.6 per cent return in its first 10 years, way
above every other hedge fund on the planet, including George Soros’s
Quantum Fund.
Its success, based on a highly complex and secretive algorithm,
continued in the Noughties and over the lifetime of the fund,
Medallion’s returns have averaged 40 per cent a year, making Simons one
of the richest men in the world with a net worth in excess of
$10 billion.
Of his 200 employees, ensconced in a fortress-like building in
unfashionable Long Island, New York, a third have PhDs, not in finance,
but in fields like physics, mathematics and statistics. Renaissance has
been called “the best physics and mathematics department in the world”
and, according to Weatherall, “avoids hiring anyone with even the
slightest whiff of Wall Street bona fides. PhDs in finance need not
apply; nor should traders who got their start at traditional investment
banks or even other hedge funds. The secret to Simons’s success has been
steering clear of the financial experts.”
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