Monday, May 16, 2005

When is big too big?

Speaking of large-caps, Bill Miller writes on why he tends to avoid the largest cap stocks citing a paper from J.B.S. Haldane.




In 1927, British biochemist J.B.S. Haldane published a volume called Possible Worlds and other essays. In it was a paper titled ''On Being the Right Size.'' Haldane begins that essay by noting that differences of size are the most obvious differences among animals, but that little scientific attention seems to be paid to them. ...



Perhaps more pertinent to readers of this piece is that Haldane's essay offers insights into why we own none of the top five companies sized by market capitalization in the S&P 500, and why Internet stocks may be better values than conventional thinking might assume [and why Miller owns AMZN vs. WMT].



Small- and mid-cap managers explain that their universe of companies can grow faster than very large companies. Large-cap managers note that smaller companies are riskier and have higher failure rates than very large enterprises, perhaps negating whatever advantage may arise from the putatively faster growth rate. Small animals have shorter life spans, in general, just as small companies do. Is that a coincidence?



When is big too big, anyway? How much, if any, of a disadvantage is GE's market capitalization of $288 billion? Is it a coincidence that GE, Microsoft, Wal-Mart, Pfizer, and Exxon, the top five companies in the S&P 500 by market capitalization, all are worth between $244 and $288 billion, despite their being in five different businesses?

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